Risk assessment

Using Risk Assessment to Meet Needs and Reduce Recidivism

A growing number of juvenile justice experts are suggesting that an effective approach to reducing recidivism is to evaluate a youth’s risk of reoffending, then match services to his or her specific risk factors. With support from the Models for Change initiative, most of the county-based juvenile probation offices in Pennsylvania have adopted the Youth Level of Service/Case Management Inventory (YLS) for this purpose. The near-statewide adoption was a significant accomplishment in a state without a centralized juvenile probation system.

Can Risk Assessment Improve Juvenile Justice Practices?

A growing number of juvenile justice experts are suggesting a new, potentially more effective approach to reducing recidivism: first identify a youth’s risk of re-offending; then match services to his or her specific risk factors and responsiveness to specific types of interventions. This study examined the implementation of risk/needs assessment tools in six juvenile probation offices in two states, and what effects it had on the practices of the probation officers.

Risk/Needs Assessment in Juvenile Justice: Predictive Validity of the SAVRY, Racial Differences, and Contribution of Needs Factors

This field validity study of the SAVRY used with a juvenile detention sample indicated that dynamic risk factors were crucial for predicting violent reoffending, and its predictive accuracy for violent reoffending was equivalent for White, Black, and Hispanic youth.

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